Defining Success in the World Cup

Earlier this week I asked the question, what would be success for Angola in the World Cup? Thank you to the readers who left their comments. I appreciate your thoughts and hope you are having fun reading this blog. There aren’t many of us Angola fans on the Internet so I love having your guys and gals stopping by and offering your opinions.

Today I will answer my own question. What would be a successful tournament for Angola?

Disaster: Angola loses all three games and isn’t at all competitive. The world sees us as a minnow that got lucky making the World Cup. Odds of this happening: 20%

Near Disaster: Angola loses all three games but is competitive. The team plays hard and gives its opponents a real challenge. The world respects our effort. Odds of this happening: 20%

Minor success: Angola gets a win or tie, but is still eliminated in group play. I see this as the most likely scenario with us getting at least a point against Iran or Mexico. Odds of this happening: 40%

Major success: Angola advances from the group. For this to happen, I think we need to beat Iran, and tie both Portugal and Mexico. Odds of this happening: 15%

Major, major success: Angola advances from the group and then wins its round of 16 game. The world adopts us as their new favorite team and we are the story of the World Cup. Odds of this happening: 4%

Life can end because I am so happy: Angola wins the World Cup. Odds of this happening: 1%